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Forecasts and commitments, 2025 | whatbrentsay

Forecasts and commitments, 2025

  • #life

This was a good exercise last year so I’m doing it again. Same rationale—capture specifics so I can hold myself accountable later. I’ll reflect on last year’s in the near future and the ones here in the distant future.

Forecasts

  • We’re going to hear the word “agent” a whole lot this year—just about as much as we’ll continue to hear “AI” uttered.
  • While the tech won’t be there to deliver, the vision of fully-customized-to-you entertainment will enter the zeitgeist. What could be more compelling than to tell a prompt the exact type of movie you want to watch or game you want to play?
  • AR/XR/MR glasses combined with capable multi-modal LLM-based assistants will start to feel like the inevitable Next Big Thing. We should even see upgraded hardware from Meta and at least another tease from Google.
  • Apple will fail to save face and continue to appear as behind the curve as they are on buzzy AI-branded products.
  • If real, the iPhone 17 “Air” will not outsell either iPhone 17 Pro model.
  • Donald Trump and Elon Musk’s “friendship” won’t make it through 2025.

Commitments

  • Draft a novel. Why not? I think I can put 400ish pages of coherent fiction together. If I can’t, I’d like to know why.
  • Continue learning piano. I played 338 hours and 50 minutes in 2024. I won’t push as hard this year (I’m writing a novel, didn’t you hear?) but I’d be surprised if I didn’t add at least another 200 hours to my tally.
  • Create 12 musical loops. Producing music of some kind is a long term goal I attached to learning piano so I might as well get started.
  • Sell a product. I’ve never produced a good that can be purchased. I’m curious what people would pay me for.
  • Read at least 12 books. Easiest one on the list.

Consumption

  • Finish The Wire
  • Watch Season 2 of Severance
  • Tackle a few book recs
    • Nexus
    • Flow
  • Finish key in progress games
    • Silent Hill 2
    • Baldur’s Gate 3

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